Very thoughtful post.
"If thereās anything that everyone has learned this past week is that there is a huge role for someone like Credora - free of perverse incentives."
We'll grow with @LowRiskDeFi
Complex topic here, and one where I will uncharacteristically side with Ethena partly while (also uncharacteristically) agreeing with Sam directionally.
First, Ethena redemptions. I see at least $980m in USDC alone in their major addresses. They also hold basically the entire $1.8b USDtb supply (bc no one else wants it; BUIDL underperforms other tokenized tbills materially, and USDtb just inserts Ethena for an extra layer of fees and counterparty risk, further lowering the appeal to investors).
So thatās $2.7b sitting in cash equivalents, easily verifiable onchain. Thatās a pretty healthy reserve vs $8.6b total supply already.
Moving into harder-to-verify numbers, Ethena claims an additional $3.3b in unencumbered stables.
That puts 58% of all USDe backed by USDC or USDtb *that isnāt even deployed as collateral*. That seems pretty unlikely to depeg unless you imagine fraud risk at Ethena or a custodian to be high. If this much cash is on hand, itās not stressful to redeem.
Now, letās move onto Samās claims.
> You, as the lender on these protocols, have signed up for underwriting 3b+ (31.5% of balance sheet) to USDe.
I find this an astonishing about-face from when Sam - an early angel investor in Ethena Labs - was gung-ho about Sky (then called MakerDAO) mysteriously giving USDe vaults an enormous credit line and hardcoded $1 oracle price, despite USDe having been completely untested and new.
To see him now touting zero exposure to USDe should either ring alarm bells or be seen as a shallow PvP post aimed at Spark competitors. The years-long failure to institute consistent risk assessments while maintaining a major conflict of interest makes me firmly believe the latter.
BUT (and I hate that there is a but) he is šÆ spot on with this:
> This is a dangerous game, and we need to grow up if we are ever to be taken seriously by TradFi. This is why I am supporting DeFi ratings as a check on the major players in this industry to support low-risk DeFi as the goal of Ethereum.
Spark is itself a huge, repeat offender in team COI management (most recently asking Spark to invest $4m into an unknown broker that the team already got into for $400k
If thereās anything that everyone has learned this past week is that there is a huge role for someone like @CredoraNetwork - free of perverse incentives like curator fee-maxing and undisclosed deals to add risky assets to what were originally launched as blue chip vaults.
Institutional depositors, I have little sympathy for - even if many of them appear to be borderline financially illiterate.
But many depositors - especially through consumer-facing apps and fintechs - are in DeFi because they donāt have reliable financial services access.
That also means they donāt have experience to know how to evaluate and monitor their investments. Risk scoring by a neutral 3rd party wonāt fix all of the weak risk management practices that were exposed as rampant this week. But itās a good first step down a very long road, and Spark and Morpho both deserve credit for recognizing this and expanding Credora coverage.

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